Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.345354 0.394742 0.447614 0.508303 0.575909 0.648775 0.733119
2025-11-16 0.258728 0.324338 0.400079 0.493456 0.604913 0.733100 0.891054
2025-11-23 0.196427 0.269102 0.359219 0.477923 0.628758 0.812512 1.051593
2025-11-30 0.157946 0.235243 0.337672 0.480960 0.673466 0.920078 1.256289
2025-12-07 0.124831 0.201817 0.310613 0.471760 0.699791 1.005685 1.440675
2025-12-14 0.102501 0.179053 0.293914 0.473168 0.738930 1.110260 1.658095
2025-12-21 0.082643 0.155931 0.272571 0.464021 0.760730 1.191433 1.848883
2025-12-28 0.072159 0.145790 0.269187 0.480742 0.821195 1.331488 2.132780
2026-01-04 0.063353 0.136710 0.265843 0.496454 0.880741 1.473879 2.429461
2026-01-11 0.054066 0.124802 0.255673 0.499103 0.918931 1.585717 2.686922
2026-01-18 0.046100 0.113753 0.245160 0.499381 0.952408 1.691588 2.940999
2026-01-25 0.039166 0.103302 0.234014 0.496760 0.979973 1.788952 3.186693
2026-02-01 0.033359 0.094146 0.224154 0.495577 1.010386 1.894028 3.453366
2026-02-08 0.028716 0.086606 0.216348 0.497222 1.045749 2.009559 3.744177
2026-02-15 0.024239 0.078370 0.205703 0.491766 1.067158 2.102148 4.001706
2026-02-22 0.021500 0.073954 0.202712 0.501443 1.117767 2.248785 4.359351
2026-03-01 0.018224 0.067190 0.193195 0.496026 1.138239 2.342400 4.629705
2026-03-08 0.015954 0.062723 0.188374 0.500122 1.177715 2.472709 4.971389
2026-03-15 0.013439 0.056754 0.178775 0.492168 1.191618 2.555935 5.232551
2026-03-22 0.012401 0.055312 0.180603 0.510821 1.262428 2.750662 5.706192
2026-03-29 0.011404 0.053734 0.181809 0.528065 1.331444 2.945587 6.189217
2026-04-05 0.010029 0.050365 0.177498 0.531301 1.370160 3.083433 6.571952
2026-04-12 0.008751 0.046932 0.172391 0.531874 1.402856 3.210934 6.940823